The alwauys interesting Noelle Acheson set me thinkign yet again. As she noted, the US Senate passed the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act by a strong bipartisan margin (85-5). It now goes back to the House of Representatives, from where it will likely move quickly to the President’s desk for signing. Well, whatever, I can hear you sighing. Indeed. But as Noelle points out, the Act contains a provision prohibiting the Federal Reserve from issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) until the end of 2030. Wat?
I went down the rabbit hole to find out what is going on here: why an Act about lending for mortgages includes a temporary prohibition on the Federal Reserve from establishing a CBDC. This is, so far as I can understand it, because of concerns about the potential impact of digital currencies (which are, of course, not the same thing as CBDCs) on the housing market and the financial systems. The concern seems to be that CBDCs could affect mortgage funding costs and bank profitability if they consumers shift their (interest-bearing) deposits to (non-interest bearing) CBDC balances. As I read somehere online but promptly forgot where, this reflects a cautious approach to new financial technologies. Cautious, yes. But rational? I’m not so sure.