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What chance of a new Brics currency backed by gold?
There has been speculation that a desire to avoid the dollar might encourage the launch of a gold-backed Brics currency, and that this might become a rival trade currency to the dollar and an eventual home for foreign exchange reserves.
This is unlikely. The Brics nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and, since 2024, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Iran and Indonesia) are a heterogenous group, with differing objectives and – in the case of India and China – significant rivalries. This is not an obvious starting point for a shared currency project.
The issues involved in establishing any kind of Brics currency (gold-linked or otherwise) would be enormous. Further talk of adding nations to the Brics group would increase complexity and reduce the probability of a new currency arrangement. It will not be taking a share of the foreign exchange reserves pie in the next decade.
The conclusion must be that dollar dominance will continue to erode due to further weaponisation of the currency. But even if the weight of the greenback falls to 50%, primary dominance will be maintained because there will not be a single challenger from the pack. Instead, the next 10 years will see 10 currencies each take a small slice of the next 10% of dollar erosion.
From: Which currencies will benefit from dollar erosion? – OMFIF.
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