With a Flurry of New Ways to Pay, Cash Hangs On – Real Time Economics – WSJ

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A new Federal Reserve study finds while consumer habits around cash are changing, its popularity remains high

From With a Flurry of New Ways to Pay, Cash Hangs On – Real Time Economics – WSJ

I’m not sure I would say “high”. What the Fed study actually shows is that cash was 40% of all transactions in 2012, 32% of all transactions now. So it’s fallen from being used for less than half of all transactions to less than a third. That doesn’t sound like “hanging on” to be honest. What was most interesting, to my mind, was that fact that the use of cash for P2P transactions has gone up despite the advance of Venmo. My guess is that cash displaced checks.

POST The laundry bill

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These costs might all be worth it if there were any proof that anti-money-laundering laws lowered crime rates. But the laws don’t even put a dent in money laundering. A Brookings Institution scholar testified before Congress that 99.9% of dirty money in the United States is successfully laundered.

[From The $7 Billion Laundry Bill – Forbes.com]

Perhaps there has been some progress, because a more recent study in the UK suggested that some 0.75% of the dodgy cash is being intercepted now. But the general point holds. Our mental model is all wrong. We shouln’t be trying (and failing at great expense) to keep dirty money out of the system, we should be getting it into the system and then using the modern technologies at our disposal – data analytics, forensics, machine learning and artificial intelligence – to work out who is up to no good so that law enforcement resources can be properly targeted.

Undercover Criminal reveals ‘Adil’ who is selling fake IDs to illegal immigrants in Birmingham | Daily Mail Online

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The conman, known only as Adil, has been exposed for selling fake residency cards to immigrants in Birmingham – and charging up to £600 per ID card.

From Undercover Criminal reveals ‘Adil’ who is selling fake IDs to illegal immigrants in Birmingham | Daily Mail Online

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Identity, verification and blockchains

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So is a blockchain based identity practical?

I think the answer is “yes” but it needs to be designed very carefully. It may also need to start with the sort of areas that can manage it best and already need a virtual identity (such as land registration or financial services transactions).

From Identity, verification and blockchains

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From Colorado, a glimpse at life after marijuana legalization – The Boston Globe

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But her company struggles with what she estimates to be an effective tax rate of nearly 50 percent, as well as having to deal almost exclusively in cash. Because marijuana remains illegal under federal law, access to banking services is severely restricted.

From From Colorado, a glimpse at life after marijuana legalization – The Boston Globe

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POST Will payment trends continue?

I happened to be reading

Instrument Change 2013-2018E
Cash down 33%
Check down 50%
Credit Card up 64%
Debit Card up 48%
Electronic up 62%

I think that as a longer-term guide these figures are misleading, because I am convinced they underestimate the impact of instant payments. If the US banks are sucessful with Zelle, I’d expect to see electronic payments grow more rapidly at the expense of cash, checks and cards as we shift to an app and API infrastructure for payments.

Black cabs to support contactless payments next week, no more stopping at cash machines – Pocket-lint

As I have long maintained, taxis are the prosaic benchmark for a mass-market payment technology. If you can pay with it in a cab, then it’s a mass market technology.

Vegas Cab Card Reader

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From Monday 31 October, all black cabs will be required to have a contactless card payment reader, either fixed or handheld. Although from January 2017, cabs will need to have a card reader installed on the passenger side of the glass.

From Black cabs to support contactless payments next week, no more stopping at cash machines – Pocket-lint

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Smart Contracts and the Role of Lawyers (Part 3) – About Lawyering Transactions on Blockchains – Biglaw KM

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Today, information concerning the assets and liabilities of even “public” companies is obscured, widely dispersed and often untrustworthy. But imagine a future in which a target company’s internal financial and transactional history (including all substantive contracts with third parties) is readily accessible online to permissioned legal counsel and financial auditors, fully traceable back to their sources, immutable and completely trustworthy.

From Smart Contracts and the Role of Lawyers (Part 3) – About Lawyering Transactions on Blockchains – Biglaw KM

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POST Zcash, privacy and practicality

You’ve probably read about Zcash. It’s the new kid on the bitcoin block, a cryptocurrency with the added special sauce of genuine anonymity rather than the pseudonymity that got some people into trouble for using the Satoshi system for a variety of nefarious purposes. The claim of the founders is that Zcash is electronic cash because it shares the characteristics of cash, such as fungibility.  Transactions remain confidential unless the counterparties real their addresses by “selective weakening” of the cryptographic protection. Now, I am sceptical about whether confidential transactions will get much traction in the mass market, but that does not mean that do not have a point. 

“If you start with a perfect electronic cash system building block, then you can build an electronic cash system with selective weakening in a way that makes sense for society.”

From ZCash Will Be a Truly Anonymous Blockchain-Based Currency – IEEE Spectrum

Adam Back is, as you would expect, completely correct about this. An electronic cash system that is going to offer some forms of privacy must be built on a truly anonymous infrastructure. You can’t do it the other way round. But… a truly anonymous infrastructure provides ample opportunities for mischief and some of this mischief might be of significant harm to society as whole. So what will happen?

Trying to think this through, it seems to me that there is something of a paradox here in our mental transaction models. We want our transactions to be anonymous because we are good people but we want other people’s transactions to be tracked, traced and monitored because they might be criminals. Obviously we don’t want child pornographers and terrorists to have access to anonymous electronic cash but we do want freedom fighters and oppressed minorities to have access to electronic cash.

So how might this paradox be resolved? Well, one option might be to assume that the anonymous cash will be used primarily by criminals and possession of it will be taken to be prima facie evidence of criminality. Thus law enforcement resources can be targeted. Remember, in an anonymous world no-one knows you’re a dog but no-one knows that you’re from the FBI either. Hence you could argue that anonymity can actually help law enforcement to carry out old-fashioned police work (and since no-one knows you’re a bot either, I’d assume that the police will have large-scale big data analysis and pattern recognition and machine learning and all sort of other things to help them). It’s not at all clear to me that a terrorist child-pornographer will be any further beyond the reach of the law because their cash is anonymous, but I’m open to debate.

What about the mass market though? As I wrote before, I can envisage an environment where some kind of what I generically refer to as “zerocash” is in existence but is never used in its “raw” state, because people, companies and governments will only use the privacy-enhanced layers on top of it.

In Zcash, there are two types of addresses, “transparent” and “shielded.” The transparent addresses and the amounts sent to and from them show up on the blockchain as they would in bitcoin. But if a user opts to use a shielded address, it will be obscured on the public ledger. And if both the sender and receiver of funds have opted to use shielded addresses, the amount sent will be encrypted as well.

From How Zcash Tries to Balance Privacy, Transparency in Blockchain | American Banker

The reminds me a little of the idea for light transactions and dark transactions that artist Austin Houldsworth put forward. The idea that counterparties can choose whether a transaction is visible or not is interesting and under explored. Whether Zcash succeeds or not, and I have no relevant knowledge to help me to decide one way or the other, the general principle strikes me as unlikely to vanish and it makes consideration of the institutions and structures that are needed in the presence of anonymous electronic money all the pressing.

This discussion takes me back to the early days of Mondex and DigiCash, when the new era of electronic money began. As indeed, did the Consult Hyperion Tomorrow’s Transactions Forum. Next year will be the 20th annual Forum (so block out 26th and 27th April in your diaries right now) so I think it will appropriate to set up an informed discussion about electronic money and anonymity to see if we can come up with a narrative for the future that makes sense for finance, technology and society. Stay tuned.

Dunkin’ Donuts Leverages Mobile Gifting | NACS Online – Media – News Archive

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Users can purchase Dunkin’ Donuts mGifts in Messages using Apple Pay, and once received, the mGifts can be moved into the Dunkin’ Mobile App and registered for use.

From Dunkin’ Donuts Leverages Mobile Gifting | NACS Online – Media – News Archive

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