Why Sweden’s cashless society is no longer a utopia | World Economic Forum

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“In the coming years, some hard choices will be required. One option is to do nothing, meaning we accept that the general public no longer has access to central bank money. Such a future would imply a changed scope for the public sector. The payment market would have to be regulated and supervised in new ways to meet fulfil the objective to have a safe, efficient and inclusive payment market.

A second alternative is to issue central bank money in a digital form, as a complement to cash and the money held in bank accounts. We call the concept ‘e-krona’ – after the Swedish currency, krona. Central bank-issued digital currency is a new and relatively unexplored possibility, but it is attracting growing interest from a number of central banks.”

From “Why Sweden’s cashless society is no longer a utopia | World Economic Forum”.

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West African single currency plans move towards lift-off – Central Banking

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“The Economic Community of West African States (Ecowas) has launched a competition to name and design a new single currency, which is expected to be delivered by 2020.”

From “West African single currency plans move towards lift-off – Central Banking”.

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Capitalising on regtech – Central Banking

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“Luca Enriques, professor of law at the University of Oxford, identifies four distinct types of regtech. In a short paper published earlier this year, he noted that market participants might use regtech for their operations or compliance, whereas supervisors and central banks might use it for oversight or policymaking purposes.”

From “Capitalising on regtech – Central Banking”.

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The war on cash: National Banks Strike Back – Data Driven Investor – Medium

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“what is needed to have a good functioning, cashless society?

A reliable payments network that stimulates innovation and competition Easy access to the network to every participant in society, both consumers as business entities”

From “The war on cash: National Banks Strike Back – Data Driven Investor – Medium”.

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POST AML is an almost total waste of money

My good friend Lisa Moyle sums up the situation around Customer Due Diligence (CDD) quite well, writing that the current rules are neither effectively preventing nor capturing crime. Instead, she says, they risk making financial institutions so overly cautious that they only serve to exacerbate the problem of the un- or under-banked and create barriers for honest customers.

She is spot on. Her comments remind me of those of Rob Wainwright, then Director of Europol, when talking about the great success of the continent’s $20 billion per annum anti-money laundering regime. He said that “professional money launderers — and we have identified 400 at the top, top level in Europe — are running billions of illegal drug and other criminal profits through the banking system with a 99 percent success rate”.

Wait, what? We are only intercepting 1% of the dirty money? That doesn’t sound very good. It’s lucky that we don’t spend too much money on this ineffective system.

Wait, what? Global spending on AML compliance will be more than six billion yankee dollars this year. So we are spending billions on a system that is, statistically, useless. Thankfully, the powers that be are taking stringent action to tackle those money launderers that Mr. Wainwright has identified. For example, while the Fourth Anti-Money Laundering Directive (4AMLD) cut down the monthly transaction limit on prepaid cards to €250 (specifically to disrupt terrorist financing), the new Fifth Anti-Money Laundering Directive (5AMLD sets an even lower limit of €150, which presumably has terrorists around the world flinging away their prepaid cards and going back to the tried-and-tested US $100 bill. Criminals too will be running scared of this crackdown and may well decide to abandon their life of crime in response.

The costs that the CDD regime impose on the finance sector (grouped under the header of compliance, and there to supposedly make life of criminals and terrorists more difficult: KYC, FATF, AML) come at an enormous price that might be justified if the regime is having an impact on crime. These efforts cost an estimated $7 billion annually in the U.S. alone. But we would all agree that this is money well spent because of the fight against serious crime.

Wait, what? The AML/CFT regime that has been created seems to be, as noted in the Journal of Financial Crime 25(2), “almost completely ineffective in disrupting illicit finances and serious crime”. 

Actually, the situation is even worse that it seems at first, because not only does the regime we have now do nothing to hamper terrorists, money launderers, drug dealers, corrupt politicians or mafia treasurers, it does hamper law-abiding citizens going about their daily business. In fact, as noted in the Journal of Money Laundering Control 17(3), the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) identification principles, guidance and practices have resulted in “largely bureaucratic” processes that do not ensure that identity fraud is effectively prevented. Were strict identification requirements to be imposed everywhere and in all circumstances, though, there would be an even more negative impact on financial inclusion because of the barriers that Lisa referred to.

Surely it’s time for a rethink.

We erect (expensive) KYC barriers and then force institutions to conduct (expensive) AML operations. But suppose the KYC barriers were a lot lower so that more transactions entered the financial system. And the suppose the transaction data was fed, perhaps in a pseudonymised form, to a central AML factory, where AI and big data, rather than clerks and STR forms, formed the front line rather than the (duplicated) ranks of footsoldiers in every institution. In this approach, the more data fed in then the more effective the factory would be at learning and spotting the bad boys at work. Network analysis, pattern analysis and other techniques would be very effective because of analysis of transactions occurring over time and involving a set of (not obviously) related real-world entities.

Britain’s war on dirty money lacks oomph – Awash

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“Britain is a financial-crime-fighting trailblazer. In a bid to crack down on shell-company abuse, in 2016 it became the first G20 country to introduce a public register for company owners. However, submitted information is not systematically checked. Recent analysis by Global Witness, an NGO, found thousands of ‘highly suspicious’ entries, including firms creating circular structures where they appear to own themselves.”

From “Britain’s war on dirty money lacks oomph – Awash”.

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Netherlands using face tech with digital ID pilot | Planet Biometrics News

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“Once the app is activated with a face scan, a QR code is generated, which is scanned by the person who needs the identification. The person being identified can decide what information is revealed. So if you want to get into a bar, for example, you can decide to only show your name and age.”

From “Netherlands using face tech with digital ID pilot | Planet Biometrics News”.

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Our Live Five for 2019

It’s that time of year again. I’ve had a chat with my colleagues at Consult Hyperion, gone back over my notes from the year’s events, taken a look at our most interesting projects around the world and brought together our “live five” for 2019. Now, as in previous years, I don’t expect you to pay any attention to our prognostications without first reviewing our previous attempts, otherwise you won’t have any basis for taking us seriously! So let’s begin by looking back a couple of years and then we’ll take a shot at the future!

Remember 2017?

This was the “live five” of technology-driven changes in the secure transactions field that we thought would have a real business impact over the previous year. In the spirit of openness and honesty and disclosure that we are famed for, let’s see how those predictions fared.

  1. RegTech. I think we did pretty well with this prediction. Interest in regtech has grown throughout the year and the ability of regtech to make real differences in major markets is established.
  2. Digital Identity. As we noted, one of the key regtechs, if not the key regtech, is digital identity. It did shoot up the agenda over the year and some interesting initiatives opened up.
  3. PSD2 (still). No commentary is needed!.
  4. Paying on the Go. We thought that a key use of open APIs will be payments, and very likely mobile payments. MasterCard’s purchase of VocaLink would tend to support this view!
  5. Invisible POS.  The shift from “check out to check in” paradigms is underway but it is fair to observe that we did not see the number of launches we were expecting as many of the projects remain in beta and will be holding to wait for the arrival of PSD2 (and CMA remedies in the UK).

Not bad. In fact, pretty good. So now let’s take a look at how we did last year. We thought that you’d agree with four out of the five…

Goodbye 2018

This was the “live five” for last year. Let’s see how we did…

  1. Open Banking. Well, it was hardly a tough call and we were bang on with this one. We’ve been working on open banking projects in the UK, on the continent and beyond. Helping market participants to develop and implement responses to open banking as turned out to be intellectually challenging and complex, and we continue to build our expertise in the field.
  2. Conversational Transactions. Yes, we were spot on with this one and not only in financial services. Many organisations are shifting messaging both for customer support and for transactions.
  3. The Internet of Cars. This continues to develop, although the security concerns that we spoke about before continue to add friction to the development of new products and services in this space.
  4. Artificial Intelligence. Again, this was an easy prediction because many of our clients were already active. Where we did add to thinking this year it was about the interactive landscape of the future (ie, bots interacting with bots) and how the identity infrastructure needs to evolve to support this.
  5. Tokens/ICOs.  Well, we were right to highlight the importance of “tokens” (the basis of Initial Coin Offerings, or ICOs) and our prediction that once the craziness is out of the way, then regulated token markets will become significant looks to be borne out by mainstream commentary.

As we said, 2018 saw disruption because the shift to open banking, starting in the UK, means the reshaping of financial services while at the same time the advance of AI into the transaction space (transactions of all types, from buying a train ticket to selling corporate bonds) begins to reshape the way we do business.

Hello 2019

This year we are organising our “live five” in a slightly different way, listing them by priority to our clients rather than as a simple list. So here are the four key technologies that we think will be hot throughout the coming year together with the new technology that we are looking at out of the corner of our eyes, so to speak. The mainstream technologies are authentication, cross-sector digital identity, digital wallets for ticketing and secure IoT in the insurance sector. The one coming up on the outside is post-quantum cryptography.

So here we go…

  1. With our financial services customers we are moving from developing strategies about open banking to developing implementation plans and supporting the development of new systems and services. The most important technology at the customer interface from the secure transactions perspective is going to be the technology of Secure Customer Authentication (SCA). Understanding the rules around which transactions need SCA or not is complicated enough, and that’s before you even start working out which technologies have the right balance of security and convenience for the relevant customer journeys. Luckily, we know how to help on both counts!

    As it happens, better authentication technology is going make life easier for clients in a number of ways, not only because of PSD2. We are already planning 3D Secure v2 (3DSv2) and Secure Remote Commerce (SRC) implementations for customers, and preventing “authentication friction” (using eg FIDO) is central to the new customer journeys.

  2. In the identity space we are moving from PowerPoint to implementing new approaches to know your customer (KYC), anti-money laundering (AML), counter-terrorist financing (CTF) and the management of a politically-exposed person (PEP) risks bringing together a basket of new technologies including machine learning, shared ledgers and self-sovereign identity. The skewed cost-benefit around regtech and the friction that flawed digitised identity systems cause mean that there is considerable pressure to shift the balance and in the coming year I think more organisations around the world will look at the cross-sector digital identity initiatives coming out of forward-thinking jurisdictions such as Canada and Australia as a vector for beneficial change and our experience in both will help such organisation to move quickly.

  3. In our work on ticketing around the world we see a renewed focus on the deployment of real digital wallets. Transit (and other forms of ticketing, such as the sporting events) are the effective anchor tenants of the digital wallet, not payments. In the UK and in some other countries there has been little traction for the smartphone digital wallet because of the effectiveness of the deployment and use of contactless cards. If you look in your real wallets, most of what your find isn’t really about payments. In our markets, payments alone do not drive consumers to digital wallets, but take-up might be about to accelerate. It’s one thing to have xPay to put cards into a digital wallet but putting your train tickets, your sports rights and your concert passes into a digital wallet makes all the difference to take-up and means serious traction. Our expertise in using the digital wallets for applications beyond payments will give our clients confidence in setting their strategies.

  4. In the insurance world we see the business cases building around the Internet of Things (IoT). The recent landmark decision of John Hancock, one of the oldest and largest North American life insurers, to stop selling traditional life insurance and instead sell only “interactive” policies that track fitness and health data through wearable devices and smartphones is a significant step both in terms of business model and security infrastructure. We think more organisations in this space will develop similar new services this means securing IoT system becomes a priority. Fortunately, our very structured risk analysis for IoT and considerable experience in the practical assessment of countermeasures deliver as cost-effective approach.

  5. In our core field of security, we think it’s time to start taking post-quantum cryptography (PQC) seriously not as research topic but as a strategic imperative around the development and deployment of new transaction systems. As many of you will know, Consult Hyperion’s reputation has been founded on the mass-market deployments of new transactions systems and services and this means we understand the long-term planning of secure platforms. We’re proud to say that we have helped to develop the security infrastructure for services ranging from the Hong Kong smart identity card to the Euroclear and from contactless payments to open loop ticketing in major cities. Systems are going into service now may well find themselves overlap overlapping with the first practical quantum computer systems that render certain kinds cryptography worthless, so It’s time to add PQC to strategies for the mass market.

There you go then! Brexit does not mean the end of SCA (since PSD2 has already been transcribed into UK law) and SCA means that secure digital identities can anchor digital wallets, and those digital wallets will contain things other than payments. They might also start to store health and fitness data for your insurance company. Oh, and all of that data will end up in the public sphere unless the organisations charged with protecting it start thinking about post-quantum cryptography or, as Adi Shamir (one of the inventors of public key cryptography) said five years ago, post-cryptography security.

Los Angeles Football Club rolls out NFC ticketing on Apple Watch and iPhones • NFC World

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“Then, on match days, iPhone users who have added their ticket to Apple Wallet receive a notification on their lockscreen as they approach the stadium, with an instruction to tap on it to select their contactless ticket in Wallet.”

From “Los Angeles Football Club rolls out NFC ticketing on Apple Watch and iPhones • NFC World”.

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