FORBES We’re going contact-free, not contact-less. Cheers!

Pubs can tell you a lot about a nation and its payment habits. Back in 2012, my favourite pub in the world was The Keystone. This was, coincidentally, the nearest pub in the entire world to the Consult Hyperion office at to Tweed House and on any given day, it was a racing certainty that you’d find at least one of us in there. I was instrumental in persuading the landlady to embrace the future of payments and go contactless.


Untitled 

The results? Everything worked perfectly. The QuickTap with a BarclayCard MasterCard pre-paid PayPass application worked perfectly and forced the terminal online for authorisation. Watch the first test here on YouTube!

It made complete sense. The average basket size was under the contactless limit, lots of people want to pay with cards, everyone in our office at least never goes to the pub without a smartphone, and a 10-second tap-and-offline payment saves time (and is faster than cash) so the bar staff can get on with the more profitable task of serving customers.

A couple of years after this breakthrough, I went to Britain’s first robopub –
The Thirsty Bear in Southwark – in the pursuit of retail payments knowledge.


photo 2 

The first thing that you will notice about The Thirsty Bear is that the tables have one iPad and two beer taps (one bitter, one lager) on them. The two are interconnected in an Internet of Grog, as will be revealed shortly. In the centre of the table is small credit-card sized recess. Here’s how it all works…


https://i0.wp.com/farm8.staticflickr.com/7380/12092652854_22ac3016e8_n.jpg?resize=320%2C312 

When you go in, you give them a payment card and they give you a contactless card, called a “Tab”. I assume they auth the card at that point but forgot to ask. You find a table and sit down and put your Tab in the recess in the centre of the table. At this point the table is activated and you can either pull your own pint from the on-table taps (the iPad displays as flow meter so you can see how much you are pouring) or you can use the iPad on a rotating mount in the centre of the table to order food, drinks and sundries. The iPad showed you customer ratings for the ales on offer and we could have punched up a couple of pints of wallop but we preferred the time-honoured method of asking mein host to recommend beverages. He suggested real ale for the men and white wine or a fruit-based cocktail for the ladies, so we went with the darker of
Windsor & Eton Canberra s on offer. I can personally attest to its quality. When we were chatting about it afterwards, a couple of people did wonder why they bothered with the Tab and so on, since everyone in the pub had a smartphone. As I said at the time, “I expect they’re right and in time the tablets and the card will probably vanish”.

(I had the opportunity to chat to the manager of the pub and he told me that 55% of sales come through the tablets and 45% over the bar. He was very enthusiastic about the infrastructure. These are tough times for pubs in the UK but here they have year-on-year growth in sales. The manager attributed this to uplift at the tables, especially amongst groups after work or watching the football, as well as more room at the bar since the bar is not as crowded and that means more walk-in trade.)

A couple of years after my visit to “The Bear”, when I saw just how quickly apps were improving and (what with Apple Pay and Google Pay) beginning to integrate super convenient payments, I started to tell people that the future was going to be “App and Pay” not “Tap and Pay”. Hence I was unsurprised to see, in 2017, that Weatherspoons (one of Britain’s leading pub chains) announce their own app. I’ve never been in Weatherspoons, so I asked my son and he told me that he and his friends use the app all the time and have done since the day it came out.

 

And then along came COVID.

The British government has allowed pubs to reopen, provided they comply with some hygiene rules and I read in my super soaraway Sun that “lots of pubs are instead encouraging people to use apps” so that they can re-open safely and comply with the government’s virus safety regulations.

So, will the future of pubs and bars and restaurants and diners going to be contactless? No, it’s going to be contact free, as will everything else.

Why has the euro failed as a global reserve currency? – Central Banking

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“The main argument in favour of the US dollar remains the depth and the liquidity of the US dollar markets,” said Klöckers. “The amount of outstanding US government debt securities is around $20 trillion, the eurozone markets are fragmented and the ratings differ across countries, the total size is smaller.”

In April 2020 outstanding central government debt securities in the eurozone amounted to €7.8 trillion, according to ECB data. “The eurozone cannot compete here with the US,” said Klöckers.

From Why has the euro failed as a global reserve currency? – Central Banking:

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Why has the euro failed as a global reserve currency? – Central Banking

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The US dollar’s role as the leading reserve currency has persisted even as the size of the US economy has progressively declined to 15% of the world’s GDP, with the eurozone share not too far behind at 11%. The proportion of US public debt has risen to 106% of GDP while the eurozone’s stands at 84%. And when it comes to exports and imports, the eurozone’s proportion to GDP is 19%, far higher than the US’s 10%.

From Why has the euro failed as a global reserve currency? – Central Banking:

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POST Silver Jubilee

There’s an important anniversary this week. I’m sure you are all thinking of July 4th and, of course, who can forget it! It’s a date that is very important to many people because it is the anniversary of the birth of The Clash, who played their first live gig on 4th July 1976. For the older generation, of course, it is remembered for another reason: the end of food rationing in the UK on 4th July 1954. And it’s also, as the British Embassy in Washington so kindly reminded us once, the 150th anniversary of the publication of
Alice in Wonderland and should therefore be celebrated in all literate nations. But for me, there is a much more important and personal anniversary. Here is the front page of the Swindon Evening Advertiser from 4th July 1995, the day I finally made the front page of my home town newspaper. Got to see my picture on the cover, got to buy five copies for my mother…


Mondex Launch 

Yes, I was there on 3rd July 1995 in Swindon town centre when the Swindon Evening Advertiser vendor Mr. Don Stanley (then 72) made the first ever live Mondex sale. And here is the photographic evidence of same — in case you don’t happen to have copy of that Swindon Evening Advertiser (which I had delivered as a boy, buy the way) — as I emerge Zelig-style from the crowd to watch Don take the e-cash. It was a very exciting day because by the time this launch came, my colleagues at Consult Hyperion had been working on the project for some years (and for the first three or four years it was entirely in secret).

(I went back to Swindon on the twentieth anniversary, hoping to find a plaque marking the spot or a smart card embedded in the pavement for something. What I actually found was… nothing. This brought a tear to my eye as my home town’s special place in the history of financial service technology appears to have been wiped from the collective memory.)

So for those of you who don’t remember what all of the fuss was about:
Mondex was an electronic purse, a pre-paid payment instrument based on a tamper-resistant chip. This chip could be integrated into all sorts of things, one of them being a smart card for consumers. Somewhat ahead of its time, Mondex was a peer-to-peer proposition. The value was transferred directly from one chip to another with no intermediary and therefore no cost. In other words, people could pay each other without going through a third party and without paying a charge. It was true cash replacement, invented at National Westminster Bank (NatWest) in 1990 by Tim Jones and Graham Higgins. Swindon had been chosen for the launch because, essentially, it was the most average place in Britain. Since I’d grown up there, I was rather excited about this, and while my colleagues carried out important work for Mondex (e.g., risk analysis, specification for secure transfer, multi-application OS design and such like) I watched as the fever grew out in the West Country.


Mondex Billboard 

Many of the retailers were quite enthusiastic because there was no transaction charge and for some of them the costs of cash handling and management were high. I can remember talking to a hairdresser who was keen to get rid of cash because it was dirty and she had to keep washing her hands, a baker who was worried about staff “shrinkage” and so on. The retailers were OK about it. For example here’s a quote from news-stand manager Richard Jackson: “From a retailer’s point of view it’s very good but less than one per cent of my actual customers use it. Lots of people get confused about what it actually is, they think it’s a Switch card or a credit card”. That’s if they thought about it all.

It just never worked for consumers. It was a pain to get hold of, for one thing. I can remember the first time I walked into a bank to get a Mondex card. I wandered in with 50 quid and had expected to wander out with a card with 50 quid loaded onto it but it didn’t work like that. I had to set up an account and fill out some forms and then wait for the card to be posted to me. Most normal people couldn’t be bothered to do any of this so ultimately only around 14,000 cards were issued.

I pulled a few strings to get my mum and dad one of the special Mondex telephones so that they could load their card from home instead of having to go to an ATM like everyone else. British Telecom had made some special fixed line handsets with a smart card slot inside and you could ring the bank to upload or download money onto your card. I love these and thought they were the future! My parents loved it, but that was nothing to do with Mondex: it was because, in those pre-smartphone days, it was a way of seeing your bank account balance without having to go to the bank or an ATM or phone the branch. You could put the Mondex into the phone and press a button and hey presto your account balance would be displayed on the phone. This was amazing two decades ago.

For the poor sods who didn’t have one of those phones (everyone, essentially) the way that you loaded your card was to go to an ATM. Now, the banks involved in the project had chosen an especially crazy way to implement the ATM interface. Remember, you had to have a bank account in order to have one of these cards and so that meant that you also had an ATM card. So if you wanted to load money onto your Mondex card, you had to go to the ATM with your ATM card and put your ATM card in and enter your pin and then select “Mondex value” or whatever the menu said and then you had to put in your Mondex card. Normal people couldn’t be bothered. If you go to an ATM with your ATM card then you might as well get cash, which is what they did.

It is possible that I’m not remembering this absolutely accurately, but I do remember these are the two places where the hassle of getting the electronic value outweighed the hassle of using cash. My dad really liked using the card in the town centre car park instead of having to fiddle about looking for change but it often didn’t work and he would call me to complain (and then I would call Tim Jones to complain!). I remember talking to Tim about this some years later and he made a very good point which was that in retrospect it would have been better to go for what he called “branded ubiquity” rather than go for geographic coverage. In other words it would have been better to have made sure that all of the car parks took Mondex or make sure that all of the buses took it or whatever.

During my anniversary visit, I went for a disconsolate nostaliga-fuelled stroll around
The Brunel Centre. I can remember when this opened in 1973 , a cathedral dedicated to modernity that represented the transformation of provincial life. A shopping mall! Watching real bands at The Brunel Rooms (I saw Elvis Costello and The Jam there, amongst others). There I discovered that Swindon remains a place where retailer-led experiments in the payment systems of the future that are ignored by the general population continues. I saw this with my own eyes. First, I was genuinely shocked to discover a shop advertising that they take Bitcoin!


Bitcoin in Swindon 

I couldn’t resist it. Bitcoin wallet to the ready on my iPhone, I picked up an item of merchandise and approached the check out. I asked the guy if they did indeed take Bitcoin as advertised. He confirmed that they did. I asked him if anyone had ever paid with Bitcoin before and he said that they had not. So I waved my phone and attempted to claim their Bitcoin cherry. Unfortunately, no-one could remember the password to their Bitcoin wallet. They went off to get the manager, but he couldn’t remember either. So I paid with a MasterCard. It appears that neither Bitcoin nor Mondex have turned the heads of the
moonrakers to the extent that they might provide a viable cash replacement option in popular retail outlets. I guess there are three things that I take from this.

The
first lesson is that banks are very probably the wrong people to launch this kind of initiative. Consult Hyperion’s later experiences with (for example) M-PESA, suggest that a lot of the things that I remember that I was baffled and confused by at the time come down to the fact that it was a bank making decisions about how to roll out a new product. The decision not to embrace mobile and Internet franchises, the decision about the ATM implementation, the stuff about the geographic licensing and so on. I can remember when the publicans of Exeter asked the banks to install Mondex terminals in the pubs since all of the students had cards and the bank refused on the grounds that the University’s electronic purse was only for use on campus. Normal companies don’t think like this. There were many people who came to the scheme with innovative ideas and new applications – retailers who wanted to issue their own Mondex cards, groups who wanted to buy pre-loaded disposable cards and so on. They were all turned away. I remember going to a couple of meetings with groups of charities who wanted to put “Swindon Money” on the card, something that I was very enthusiastic about. But the banks were not interested.

The
second lesson is that the calculations about transaction costs (which is what I spent a fair bit of my time doing) actually really didn’t matter: they had no impact on the decision to deploy or not to deploy in any particular application. I remember spending ages poring over calculations to prove that the cost of paying for satellite TV subscriptions would be vastly less using a prepaid Mondex solution rather than building a subscription management and billing platform and nobody cared. I went to present the findings to a bank that was actually funding satellite TV roll out at the time, BT who were providing the backhaul and the satellite TV provider. Nobody cared. The guys at the bank told me that they didn’t have the bandwidth for it (which meant, I think, that they had no interest in spending money so that another part of the bank might benefit). The banks with big acquiring operations were being asked to compete against themselves and they didn’t care either. The transaction cost, which I thought was the most important factor, really wasn’t one of the drivers.

The
third lesson is that while the solution was technically brilliant it was too isolated. The world was moving to the Internet and mobile phones and to online in general and Mondex was trying to build something that was optimised not to use of any of those. Thinking about it now, it seems odd that we made cash replacement systems such as Danmont, Mondex, VisaCash and used them to compete with cards in the physical world rather than target them where cash was a pain, such as vending machines and web sites. I hope I’m not breaking any confidences in saying that I can remember being in meetings discussing the concept of online franchises and franchises for mobile operators. Some of the Mondex people thought this might be a good idea, but the banks were against it. They saw payments as their business and they saw physical territories as the basis for deployment. Yet as The Economist said back in 2001, “Mondex, one of the early stored-value cards, launched by British banks in 1994, is still the best tool for creating virtual cash“.

Now, at the same time that all this was going on at Mondex, we were working for mobile operators who had started to look at payments as a potential business. These were mobile operators who already had a tamper-resistant smart card in the hands of millions of people and so the idea of adding an electronic purse was being investigated. Unfortunately, there was no way to start that ball rolling because you couldn’t just put Mondex purses into the SIMs, you had to get a bank to issue them. And none of them would: I expect they were waiting see whether this mobile phone thing would catch on or not.

On 3rd July 1995, I thought I was witnessing the dawn of the new era of financial services. In actual fact, that happened a month later with the
Netscape IPO on 9th August 1995. Mondex never caught on and now is almost forgotten.

So why I am wallowing in this nostalgia again? Why should more people be celebrating the Mondex Silver Jubilee. Well, look East, where the first reports have appeared concerning the Digital Currency/Electronic Payment (DC/EP) system being tested in four cities: Shenzen, Chengdu, Suzhou and Xiong’an. DC/EP is the Chinese Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).

DCEP phone

with the kind permission of Matthew Graham @mattysino

The implementation follows the trajectory that I talk about in my book The Currency Cold War, with the digital currency being delivered to customers via commercial banks. The Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China, Fan Yifei, recently gave an interview to Central Banking magazine in which he expanded on the “two tier” approach to central bank digital currency (CBDC). His main points were that this approach, in which the central bank controls the digital currency but it is the commercial banks that distribute it, is that is allow “more effective exploitation of existing business resources, human resources and technologies” and that “a two-tier model could also boost the public’s acceptance of a CBDC”. 

He went on to say that the circulation of the digital Yuan should be “based on ‘loosely coupled account links’ so that transactional reliance on accounts could be significantly reduced”. What he means by this is that the currency can be transferred wallet-to-wallet without going through bank accounts. Why? Well, so that the electronic cash “could attain a similar function of currency to cash… The public could use it directly for various purchases, and it would prove conducive to the yuan’s circulation”. How will this work? Well, you could have the central bank provide commercial banks with some sort of cryptographic doodah that would allow them swap electronic money for digital currency under the control of the central bank. Wait a moment, that reminds me of something because… yeps, that’s how Mondex worked. There was one big difference between Mondex and other electronic money schemes of the time, which was that Mondex would allow offline transfers, chip to chip, without bank (or central bank) intermediation.

 Mondex Paraphanalia

Offline person to person transfers. That’s huge. Libra can’t do it, and never will be able to. To understand why, note that there are basically two ways to transfer value between devices and keep the system secure against double-spending. You can do it in hardware (ie, Mondex or the Bank of Canada’s Mintchip) or you can do it in software. If you do it in software you either need a central databse (eg DigiCash) or a decentralised alternative (eg, blockchain). But if you use either of these, you need to be online. I don’t see how to get the offline functionality without hardware security. 

 

POST The Glass Bank redux

In some of the workshops that I’ve been running, I’ve mentioned that I think that transparency will be one of the key elements of new propositions in the world of electronic transactions and that clients looking to develop new businesses in that space might want to consider the opportunities for sustained advantage. Why not let me look inside my bank and see where my money is, so to speak? If I log in to my credit card issuer I can see that I spent £43 on books at Amazon: if I log in to Amazon I can that I spent £43 but I can also see what books I bought, recommendations, reviews and so on. They have the data, so they let me look at it. If I want to buy a carpet from a carpet company, how do I know whether they will go bankrupt or not before they deliver? Can I have a look at their order book?

Transparency increases confidence and trust. I often use a story from the August 1931 edition of Popular Mechanics to illustrate this point. The article concerns the relationship between transparency and behaviour in the specific case of depression-era extra-judicial unlicensed wealth redistribution…

BANK hold-ups may soon become things of the past if the common-sense but revolutionary ideas of Francis Keally, New York architect, are put into effect. He suggests that banks be constructed with glass walls and that office partitions within the building likewise be transparent, so that a clear view of everything that is happening inside the bank will be afforded from all angles at all times.

[From 

Glass Banks Will Foil Hold-Ups
]

I urge you to clink on the link, by the way, to see the lovely drawing that goes with the article. The point is well made though: you can’t rob a glass bank. No walls, no Bernie Madoff. But you can see the problem: some of the information in the bank is confidential: my personal details, for example. Thus, it would be great if I could look through the list of bank deposits to check that the bank really has the money it says it has, but I shouldn’t be able to see who those depositors are (although I will want third-party verification that they exist!).

 

Why am I talking about this? Well, I read recently that Bank of America has 
called in management consultants to help them manage the fallout from an as-yet-nonexistent leak of corporate secrets, although why these secrets be prove embarrassing is not clear. In fact, no-one knows whether the leak will happen, or whether it will impact BofA, although Wikileaks’ Julian Assange had previously mentioned having a BofA hard disk in his possession, so the market drew its own conclusions.

Bank of America shares fell 3 percent in trading the day after Mr. Assange made his threat against a nameless bank

[From 

Facing WikiLeaks Threat, Bank of America Plays Defense – NYTimes.com
]

Serious money. Anyway, I’m interested in what this means for the future rather than what it means now: irrespective of what Bank of America’s secrets actually are because

when WikiLeaks, a whistle-blowing website, promised to publish five gigabytes of files from an unnamed financial institution early next year, bankers everywhere started quaking in their hand-made shoes. And businesses were struck by an alarming thought: even if this threat proves empty, commercial secrets are no longer safe.

[From 

Business and WikiLeaks: Be afraid | The Economist
]

 

Does technology provide any comfort here at all? I think it does. Many years ago, I had the pleasant experience of having dinner with 
Nicholas NegroponteJohn Barlow and Eric Hughes, author of  the cypherpunk manifesto , at a seminar in Palm Springs. This was in, I think, 1995. I can remember Eric talking about “encrypted open books”, a topic that now seems fantastically prescient. His idea was to develop cryptographic techniques so that you could perform certain kinds of operations on encrypted data: in other words, you could build glass organisations where anyone could run some software to check your books without actually being able to read your books. Nick Szabo later referred back to the same concepts when talking about the specific issue of auditing.

Knowing that mutually confidential auditing can be accomplished in principle may lead us to practical solutions. Eric Hughes’ “encrypted open books” was one attempt.

[From 

Szabo
]

 

Things like this seem impossible when you think of books in terms of paper and index cards: how can you show me your books without giving away commercial data? But when we think in terms of bits, and cryptography, and “blinding” it is all perfectly sensible. This technology seems to me to open up a new model, where corporate data is encrypted but open to all so that no-one cares whether it is copied or distributed in any way. Instead of individuals being given the keys to the database, they will be given keys to decrypt only the data that they are allowed to see and since these keys can easily be stored in tamper-resistant hardware (whereas databases can’t) the implementation becomes cost-effective. While I was thinking about this, Bob Hettinga reminded me about Peter Wayner’s ”
translucent databases “, that build on the Eric’s concepts.

Wayner really does end up where a lot of us think databases will be someday, particularly in finance: repositories of data accessible only by digital bearer tokens using various blind signature protocols… and, oddly enough, not because someone or other wants to strike a blow against the empire, but simply because it’s safer — and cheaper — to do that way.

[From 

Book Review: Peter Wayner’s “Translucent Databases”
]

There are other kinds of corporate data that it may at first seem need to be secret, but on reflection could be translucent (I’ll switch to Peter’s word here because it’s a much better description of practical implementations). An example might be salaries. Have the payroll encrypted but open, so anyone can access a company’s salary data and see what salaries are earned. Publish the key to decrypt the salaries, but not any other data. Now anyone who needs access to salary data (eg, the taxman, pressure groups, potential employees, customers etc) can see it and the relevant company data is transparent to them. One particular category of people who might need access to this data is staff! So, let’s say I’m working on a particular project and need access to our salary data because I need to work out the costs of a proposed new business unit. All I need to know is the distribution of salaries: I don’t need to know who they belong to. If our payroll data is open, I can get on and use it without having to have CDs of personal data sent through the post, of whatever.

 

I can see that for many organisations this kind of controlled transparency (ie, translucency) will be a competitive advantage: as an investor, as customer, as a citizen, I would trust these organsations far more than “closed” ones. Why wait for quarterly filings to see how a public company is doing when you could go on the web at any time to see their sales ledger? Why rely on management assurances of cost control when you can see how their purchase ledger is looking (without necessarily seeing what they’re buying or who they are buying it from) when you can see it on their web page? Why not check staffing levels and qualifications by accessing the personnel database? Is this any crazier than 
Blippy ?

US Fed Chair Says Private Entities Should Not Help Design Central Bank Digital Currencies – CoinDesk

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The chairman also briefly addressed concerns around the Fed’s ability to control a hypothetical digital dollar, saying it’s “a very difficult problem” to find a balance between knowing too much about an individual’s transactions and knowing too little.

From US Fed Chair Says Private Entities Should Not Help Design Central Bank Digital Currencies – CoinDesk:

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City of Akron rewards citizens for shopping locally with city coins – Smart Cities World

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The City of Akron in Ohio is incentivising citizens to shop locally by rewarding them with a city coin that is redeemable at participating businesses.

From City of Akron rewards citizens for shopping locally with city coins – Smart Cities World:

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Net City: Tencent is building a Monaco-sized ‘city of the future’ in Shenzhen – CNN Style

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The ambitious city-within-a-city is set to occupy a stretch of reclaimed land jutting out into the Pearl River estuary. Designed to accommodate a population of some 80,000 people, the site will primarily serve Tencent, the conglomerate behind WeChat and China’s popular QQ messaging service.

From Net City: Tencent is building a Monaco-sized ‘city of the future’ in Shenzhen – CNN Style:

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