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Cryptocurrency usage is growing faster than ever before. Across all cryptocurrencies tracked by Chainalysis, total transaction volume grew to $15.8 trillion in 2021, up 567% from 2020’s totals. Given that roaring adoption, it’s no surprise that more cybercriminals are using cryptocurrency. But the fact that the increase was just 79% — nearly an order of magnitude lower than overall adoption — might be the biggest surprise of all.
In fact, with the growth of legitimate cryptocurrency usage far outpacing the growth of criminal usage, illicit activity’s share of cryptocurrency transaction volume has never been lower.
From Crypto Crime Trends for 2022: Illicit Transaction Activity Reaches All-Time High in Value, All-Time Low in Share of All Cryptocurrency Activity – Chainalysis.
Bitpay is the biggest cryptocurrency acquirer for legitimate businesses. They process around 2,000 transactions per day (compare this with, for example, Visa which processes around 2,000 per second) of which half are Bitcoin. So let’s say 1,000 Bitcoin payments per day. This is, statistically, nothing. The use of Bitcoin for goods and services is a blip. Bitcoin is running about around a quarter of a million payments per day right now, so if Bitpay has (a rough estimate) 3% of the market then that means about a tenth of payments are for goods and services. That seems about right and tallies with with Tim Swanson’s figure.
But what goods and services? The Bitpay figures for December 2021 show that almost half of all cryptocurrency purchases were gift cards and around a tenth were for computer games. Internet services and VPN hosting together account for another quarter. Retail purchases of goods and services are down at the 1% level.