It’s been an interesting year, to say the least, so now it’s coming to an end I can’t help but look back over an incredibly volatile period. Fintech is here to stay, but it has been a bumpy ride for some. Valuations are collapsing, frauds are rampant and there have been events. Serious events, ranging from war in Europe to COVID to weather. A lot of events, dear readers, events.
(When the British Prime Minister Harold Macmillan was asked might most influence the future of his government in 1957, he famously replied “events, dear boy, events.)

Whether looking back on the wreckage of the market is any value or not I couldn’t say, but this seems to be the sort of thing that people do at the end of the year. So here goes… here are my top 10 Forbes contributions of the year, ranked according to you, the readers…
First, Apple Moves Into Open Banking concerning Apple’s purchase of a UK open banking company and the potential to bypass a lot of the current payments infrastructure by going directly to bank accounts.
Follow The Yellow BRIC Road looking at the potential for international trade without dollars.
What The Zelle Is Going On? concerning the use of Zelle for retail payments – but not in America!
Super Apps or Smart Wallets explaining why I think in Western markets the smart wallet approach would be better. I still feel that smart wallets (shared strong authentication) are a better choice than super apps (shared identity) but hey Elon Musk is a billionaire and I’m not so you should probably listen to him.
From Apple Pay To Apple Paid talking about Apple’s decision to turn iPhones into point-of-sale terminals. Of course you could already accept contactless payments on Android phones but Apple’s market entrance legitimises the sector as it always does. Phone-on-phone action ahoy!
When The CBDC Revolution Comes, It Won’t Be On The Blockchain commenting on early work in the field and expressing my scepticism that blockchains will be used for population-scale central bank digital currency. I remain firmly of the conviction that device-to-device transfer of balances stored in tamper-resistant hardware will be the chosen architecture.
If The Crypto Crash Is Another Tulip Bubble That Is Really Good News which takes a historical perspective to suggest that the regulatory response to the crypto winter, if intelligent, could be of benefit to all of us (ie, not only crypto “investors”).
How Do You Measure Open Banking putting forward my view that open banking is already changing the world of financial services and that the lack of account switching is not, an never has been, a useful measure of impact.
ChatGPT Is A Window Into The Real Future Of Financial Services reinforcing my view that revolution in financial services comes when customers get AI, not when banks do.
And finally, coming in at no.10, was New Ledgers, New Business Models And New Opportunities In Micropayments. In the face of all evidence to date, I really do think that a workable micropayments infrastructure (maybe the destiny of the new Twitter?) will enable new kinds of business.
As for next year, I won’t be making any fintech predictions. Well, not beyond the obvious ones, anyway…
First of all, I and certain that many people in business continue to underestimate the impact of AI. We are seeing astonishing new tools being built on top of Chat GPT and such like. The bot revolution is coming faster than I had anticipated.
Second, I’m confident that a digital assets phoenix will arise from the flames of crypto.
And finally, I’m fairly sure that the core strategies for most of the businesses that I work with will focus on embedded finance. I rather liked Simon Taylor’s view of this sector as delivering regulated financial products to point of need and I think that a great many customer-facing enterprises will exploit this.
Well, that’s that. I’m off to put my feet up and enjoy playing Dungeons & Dragons, watching Woking FC and eating too much for the weekend. See you on the other side.
By the way, if you like the cartoons that the brilliant Helen Holmes draws for my Forbes columns, please let me know. I will send a physical copy of one of those cartoons, signed by the author herself, to the first person to respond to this post here on LinkedIn!
Thanks to everyone for their kind words in response to my meagre scribblings and onwards to a great 2023!